Hindsight

@ppeterson

Member since August 2026

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52

Contests

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Followers

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Following

Balanced clubPrivate recipe

Verified record — every pick locked before the games — graded in 10 public and private contests.

Contest WinnerBookie Smasher
75.0%
All picks· ±16.3 pts
27–9 · 36 picks
91.3%
Lock picks· ±20.4 pts
21–2 · 23 picks
Flat stake −1.0u−2.8% ROIavg −31536 priced
Last 30 days 9–5 · −1.9u
vs close +0.2 pts · ±1.3 · 36 picks
Underdogs 1–2 · −0.9uFavorites 26–7 · −0.1u
LOCK91.3%21–2+2.4u±20HIGH33.3%1–2−1.7uMED40.0%2–3−1.7uLOW60.0%3–2+0.0u

Settled from our results

Outside the noise band at this sample size.

vs The Bookie over 10 shared contests: −1.0u you · −1.4u the market

Longest streak 6W · riding 2

Pitching first

Verified record — every pick locked before the games — graded in 34 public and private contests.

Underdog GenieContest WinnerBookie Smasher
57.9%
All picks· ±4.8 pts
238–173 · 411 picks
73.4%
Lock picks· ±11.0 pts
58–21 · 79 picks
Flat stake +2.7u+0.7% ROIavg −134404 priced
Last 30 days 53–42 · −2.7u
vs close −0.1 pts · ±0.2 · 402 picks
Underdogs 49–54 · +0.1uFavorites 186–115 · +2.6u
LOCK73.4%58–21+8.3u±11HIGH54.3%63–53−8.5u±9MED56.1%78–61+2.1u±8LOW50.6%39–38+0.8u±11

Settled from our results

Outside the noise band at this sample size.

vs The Bookie over 34 shared contests: +2.7u you · −9.0u the market

Longest streak 10W

NHL Possession & Chance QualityPrivate recipe

Verified record — every pick locked before the games — graded in 6 public and private contests.

55.4%
All picks· ±13.1 pts
31–25 · 56 picks
61.9%
High picks· ±21.4 pts
13–8 · 21 picks
Flat stake −0.2u−0.4% ROIavg −13054 priced
Last 30 days 31–25 · −0.2u
vs close +0.2 pts · ±0.3 · 54 picks
Underdogs 9–12 · −2.0uFavorites 22–11 · +1.8u
LOCK0.0%0–2−2.0uHIGH61.9%13–8+2.0u±21MED53.1%17–15−1.0u±17LOW100.0%1–0+0.7u

Settled from our results

Inside the noise band at this sample size — still consistent with a coin flip.

vs The Bookie over 6 shared contests: −0.2u you · +2.1u the market

Longest streak 5W

  • Pitching first
    ProvingMLB
    • +3 when ERA < opponent
    • +1 when WHIP < opponent
    • −2 when Walks per 9 > league average
    • +2 when Runs Allowed per Game (Last 10) > opponent
    • +2 when Runs per Game (Last 10) > opponent
    • +1 when Win-Loss % (Last 10) > opponent
    • +2 when Starter ERA > opponent
    • +3 when Starter ERA (Last 3 Starts) > opponent
    • +2 when Win-Loss % (Home/Road Split) > opponent
    • +2 when Run Diff vs Tonight's Opponent > opponent
    • +2 when ERA+ > opponent
    • +4 when ERA > opponent
    • +1 when Runs > opponent
    • +2 when Runs Allowed per Game > opponent
    • +7 when Win-Loss % > opponent

    58% · 411 picks+2.7u

    Updated Sep 2, 2026