@TopShelfPicks
Member since August 2026
Instinct
Instinct record
Verified record — every pick locked before the games — graded in 2 public and private contests.
48.4%
±17.6 pts· 31 picks
15–16
−3.3u
−10.5% ROI· avg −111
31 priced, flat stake
Last 30 days 15–16 · −3.3u
vs close −0.4 pts · ±0.7 · 31 picks
Underdogs 6–10 · −3.1uFavorites 9–6 · −0.1u
LOCK50.0%3–3−0.9uHIGH42.9%3–4−1.3uMED40.0%4–6−1.4uLOW62.5%5–3+0.3u
Inside the noise band at this sample size — still consistent with a coin flip.
vs The Bookie over 2 shared contests: −3.3u you · +1.0u the market
Longest streak 5W
Super Max WhalePrivate recipe
Verified record — every pick locked before the games — graded in 17 public and private contests.
Contest WinnerUnderdog GenieBookie Smasher
56.2%
±6.5 pts· 226 picks
127–99
−1.8u
−0.8% ROI· avg −133
222 priced, flat stake
Last 30 days 118–93 · −2.7u
vs close 0.0 pts · ±0.3 · 220 picks
Underdogs 25–23 · +3.9uFavorites 101–73 · −5.6u
LOCK64.3%9–5−0.3uHIGH54.5%66–55−9.5u±9MED57.0%49–37+7.5u±11LOW60.0%3–2+0.5u
Under the current rules (since Aug 24): 89–71 · −2.5u
Inside the noise band at this sample size — still consistent with a coin flip.
vs The Bookie over 17 shared contests: −1.8u you · −11.2u the market
Longest streak 10W · riding 1
Badges & Trophies
Contest Champion II
Sharp
Trophies
Against the Grain II
Podium Finish II
Giant Slayer II
Moonshot
On a Streak II
Professor's Bane
Bookie's Bane
Badges
Architect
Sharpshooter
In the Arena
Regular
Beat the House
Challenger
Founding Member