Hindsight

Tuesday, October 20

Tonight at Hindsight

How last night's calls actually went.

NHL · 11 gamesNBA · 3 games

Tonight's slate · Previous day

The Bookie likes Montreal Canadiens at −225.

On the record tonight

Leaderboard

Ranked by lifetime record, adjusted for sample size. Min. 8 decided picks, user algorithms ahead of the house, running within a week of that date. Algorithms with public rules show what they like tonight.

Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)
@The_Chosen_One · NHL
61.2%
All picks
78.3%
Lock picks
±9.1 ·116 picks
Flat stake +4.8u+4.3% ROI
Last 30 days · 71–45 · +4.8u
LOCK78.3%18–5+5.9uHIGH60.0%27–18+1.6uMED54.8%23–19−1.0uLOW50.0%3–3−1.6u
Ran this slate
How it went
CAR−298CAR @ VANLOCK✓ correct
WSH−162LAK @ WSHHIGH✕ wrong
BOS+142BOS @ DALEdgeHIGH✕ wrong
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)
@The_Chosen_One · NHL
60.2%
All picks
71.4%
High picks
±8.5 ·133 picks
Flat stake +6.0u+4.6% ROI
Last 30 days · 80–53 · +6.0u
LOCK76.5%13–4+2.0uHIGH71.4%20–8+2.3uMED56.8%25–19+2.1uLOW50.0%22–22−0.4u
Ran this slate
How it went
CAR−298CAR @ VANLOCK✓ correct
MTL−225SJS @ MTLMED✕ wrong
LAK+136LAK @ WSHMED✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ
@TopShelfPicks · NHL
59.6%
All picks
68.4%
High picks
±9.4 ·109 picks
Flat stake +4.1u+3.8% ROI
Last 30 days · 65–44 · +4.1u
LOCK50.0%3–3−1.8uHIGH68.4%26–12+5.6uMED54.9%28–23−3.1uLOW57.1%8–6+3.4u
Last ran Oct 15

Sat this slate out.

Goaltending & special teams
@The_Creator · NHL
57.9%
All picks
56.1%
Med picks
±9.2 ·114 picks
Flat stake +7.5u+6.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 66–48 · +7.5u
LOCK—0–0—HIGH50.0%1–1−0.5uMED56.1%46–36+0.5uLOW63.3%19–11+7.5u
Last ran Oct 15

Sat this slate out.

59.7%
All picks
70.0%
High picks
±13.0 ·57 picks
Flat stake +2.9u+5.2% ROI
Last 30 days · 34–23 · +2.9u
LOCK50.0%2–2−1.4uHIGH70.0%14–6+4.1uMED54.2%13–11−0.4uLOW55.6%5–4+0.6u
Ran this slate
How it went
CAR−298CAR @ VANLOCK✓ correct
WSH−162LAK @ WSHHIGH✕ wrong
MTL−225SJS @ MTLMED✕ wrong
NHL Balanced Strength
@ppeterson · NHL
59.3%
All picks
65.0%
High picks
±13.3 ·54 picks
Flat stake +3.5u+6.8% ROI
Last 30 days · 32–22 · +3.5u
LOCK40.0%2–3−1.5uHIGH65.0%13–7+2.7uMED53.8%14–12+0.0uLOW100.0%3–0+2.3u
Ran this slate
How it went
WSH−162LAK @ WSHLOCK✕ wrong
COL+100COL @ NJDHIGH✕ wrong
CAR−298CAR @ VANHIGH✓ correct

The house cast

The house cast enters every contest, runs the same rules every night, and gets graded like everyone else. They are the field you have to beat.

Home Cooking

Always picks the home team. No stats, no exceptions.

NHL83–6257% · last 30
NBA1–233% · last 30

The Professor

Backs whoever scores more and allows less per game.

NHL57–3463% · last 30
NBA0–10% · last 30

Coin Flip

Picks a side at random, the same way every time.

NHL70–7548% · last 30
NBA0–30% · last 30

Bandwagon

Backs the better record, head to head.

NHL80–5659% · last 30
NBA2–167% · last 30

Negative Nancy

Counts only flaws, and picks whoever disappoints her less.

NHL63–5354% · last 30
NBA1–233% · last 30

The Bookie

Backs the betting-line favorite. Sits out pick'ems.

NHL87–5462% · last 30
NBA0–20% · last 30

NHL

Final standings
SJS@MTL
MTL −225 · SJS +185
Final
SJS 4–3 MTL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamMTLLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSJSLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonno pick
Negative Nancyno pick
The Bookiemarket favorite −225MTLHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundMTLMED✕ wrong
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonMTLMED✕ wrong
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundMTLMED✕ wrong
4 of 5 on MTLgraded
COL@NJD
NJD −120 · COL +100
Final
COL 3–4 NJD
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNJDLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialCOLHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNJDLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordCOLHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsNJDHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −120NJDLOW✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneCOLMED✕ wrong
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundNJDLOW✓ correct
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonCOLMED✕ wrong
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundCOLHIGH✕ wrong
5 of 9 on COLgraded
ANA@NYI
NYI −155 · ANA +130
Final
ANA 2–3 NYI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNYILOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreANALOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordANALOW✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsANAHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −155NYIMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneNYIMED✓ correct
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundANALOW✕ wrong
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonNYIMED✓ correct
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundNYIMED✓ correct
5 of 8 on NYIgraded
LAK@WSH
WSH −162 · LAK +136
Final
LAK 5–2 WSH
The house
Home Cookinghome teamWSHLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialWSHHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreLAKLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordWSHHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsWSHLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −162WSHHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneWSHHIGH✕ wrong
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundLAKMED✓ correct
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonWSHHIGH✕ wrong
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundWSHLOCK✕ wrong
8 of 9 on WSHgraded
TOR@CBJ
CBJ −166 · TOR +140
Final
TOR 6–2 CBJ
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCBJLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialTORMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreTORLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordCBJMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCBJLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −166CBJHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundTORLOW✓ correct
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonTORLOW✓ correct
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundTORMED✓ correct
4 of 7 on CBJgraded
WPG@STL
STL −135 · WPG +114
Final
WPG 1–2 STL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamSTLLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreWPGLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordWPGHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSTLLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −135STLMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneWPGMED✕ wrong
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundWPGMED✕ wrong
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonSTLMED✓ correct
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundSTLMED✓ correct
4 of 8 on STLgraded
BOS@DAL
DAL −170 · BOS +142
Final
BOS 2–3 DAL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamDALLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreDALLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordBOSHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsDALLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −170DALHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneBOSHIGH✕ wrong
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundBOSMED✕ wrong
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonDALMED✓ correct
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundBOSMED✕ wrong
5 of 8 on DALgraded
MIN@EDM
EDM −130 · MIN +110
Final
MIN 3–4 EDM
The house
Home Cookinghome teamEDMLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreMINLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordEDMHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsEDMLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −130EDMMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneMINMED✕ wrong
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonMINLOW✕ wrong
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundEDMMED✓ correct
5 of 8 on EDMgraded
DET@SEA
DET −122 · SEA +102
Final
DET 3–4 SEA
The house
Home Cookinghome teamSEALOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreDETLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordSEAMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsDETLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −122DETLOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneSEAMED✓ correct
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundDETMED✕ wrong
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonDETMED✕ wrong
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundSEAMED✓ correct
4 of 8 on SEAgraded
CAR@VAN
CAR −298 · VAN +240
Final
CAR 6–3 VAN
The house
Home Cookinghome teamVANLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialCARHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCARLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordCARHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyno pick
The Bookiemarket favorite −298CARHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneCARLOCK✓ correct
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundCARLOCK✓ correct
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonCARLOCK✓ correct
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundCARHIGH✓ correct
7 of 8 on CARgraded
TBL@VEG
VEG −110 · TBL −110
Final
TBL 6–2 VEG
The house
Home Cookinghome teamVEGLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialVEGHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreVEGLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordVEGMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsTBLMED✓ correct
The Bookieno pick
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundTBLMED✓ correct
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonVEGMED✕ wrong
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundVEGHIGH✕ wrong
6 of 7 on VEGgraded

Consensus went 4–5 tonight

NBA

Final standings
BOS@DET
BOS −120 · DET +100
Final
BOS 113–121 DET
The house
Home Cookinghome teamDETLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreBOSLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordDETLOW✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsBOSHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −120BOSLOW✕ wrong
3 of 5 on BOSgraded
PHI@NYK
NYK −175 · PHI +145
Final
PHI 106–100 NYK
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNYKLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter point differentialNYKMED✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNYKLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordNYKLOW✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsNYKMED✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −175NYKHIGH✕ wrong
6 of 6 on NYKgraded
OKC@SAS
OKC −118 · SAS −102
Final
OKC 116–104 SAS
The house
Home Cookinghome teamSASLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSASLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordOKCLOW✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsOKCLOW✓ correct
The Bookieno pick
2 of 4 on SASgraded

Consensus went 0–2 tonight

Last night

Full recap

@The_Chosen_One took the night

Hindsight: “@The_Chosen_One wins the night at 2/4 — Standings + Shot Volume (NHL) did the picking, 4 pts.”

Home Cooking: “The line held: 4 pts, and not one of you cleared every house pick.”

3–1
Consensus
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)
Won the contest
NHL
Sport

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