Hindsight

Monday, October 19

Tonight at Hindsight

How last night's calls actually went.

NHL · 4 games

Tonight's slate · Previous day

The Bookie likes New York Rangers at −155. Negative Nancy, naturally, is on Anaheim Ducks.

On the record tonight

Leaderboard

Ranked by lifetime record, adjusted for sample size. Min. 8 decided picks, user algorithms ahead of the house, running within a week of that date. Algorithms with public rules show what they like tonight.

Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)
@The_Chosen_One · NHL
63.0%
All picks
77.3%
Lock picks
±9.4 ·108 picks
Flat stake +7.8u+7.5% ROI
Last 30 days · 68–40 · +7.8u
LOCK77.3%17–5+5.5uHIGH62.8%27–16+3.6uMED56.8%21–16+0.3uLOW50.0%3–3−1.6u
Ran this slate
How it went
COL−238COL @ PHILOCK✕ wrong
UTA−185PIT @ UTALOCK✓ correct
NYR−155ANA @ NYRHIGH✓ correct
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)
@The_Chosen_One · NHL
61.0%
All picks
71.4%
High picks
±8.8 ·123 picks
Flat stake +7.0u+5.8% ROI
Last 30 days · 75–48 · +7.0uStreak · 5W
LOCK75.0%12–4+1.7uHIGH71.4%20–8+2.3uMED60.5%23–15+4.7uLOW48.8%20–21−1.6u
Ran this slate
How it went
UTA−185PIT @ UTAHIGH✓ correct
NYR−155ANA @ NYRLOW✓ correct
PHI+195COL @ PHILOW✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ
@TopShelfPicks · NHL
59.6%
All picks
68.4%
High picks
±9.4 ·109 picks
Flat stake +4.1u+3.8% ROI
Last 30 days · 65–44 · +4.1u
LOCK50.0%3–3−1.8uHIGH68.4%26–12+5.6uMED54.9%28–23−3.1uLOW57.1%8–6+3.4u
Last ran Oct 15

Sat this slate out.

Goaltending & special teams
@The_Creator · NHL
57.9%
All picks
56.1%
Med picks
±9.2 ·114 picks
Flat stake +7.5u+6.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 66–48 · +7.5u
LOCK—0–0—HIGH50.0%1–1−0.5uMED56.1%46–36+0.5uLOW63.3%19–11+7.5u
Last ran Oct 15

Sat this slate out.

63.0%
All picks
63.0%
Last 30 days
±14.4 ·46 picks
Flat stake +4.2u+9.2% ROI
LOCK33.3%1–2−1.8uHIGH73.7%14–5+5.1uMED58.8%10–7+0.7uLOW57.1%4–3+0.1u
Ran this slate
How it went
COL−238COL @ PHILOCK✕ wrong
UTA−185PIT @ UTAHIGH✓ correct
NYR−155ANA @ NYRMED✓ correct
NHL Balanced Strength
@ppeterson · NHL
60.5%
All picks
60.5%
Last 30 days
±14.9 ·43 picks
Flat stake +2.7u+6.4% ROI
LOCK50.0%2–2−0.5uHIGH70.6%12–5+3.4uMED47.4%9–10−2.5uLOW100.0%3–0+2.3u
Ran this slate
How it went
COL−238COL @ PHILOCK✕ wrong
UTA−185PIT @ UTAHIGH✓ correct
NYR−155ANA @ NYRMED✓ correct

The house cast

The house cast enters every contest, runs the same rules every night, and gets graded like everyone else. They are the field you have to beat.

Home Cooking

Always picks the home team. No stats, no exceptions.

NHL77–5757% · last 30

The Professor

Backs whoever scores more and allows less per game.

NHL55–3164% · last 30

Coin Flip

Picks a side at random, the same way every time.

NHL64–7048% · last 30

Bandwagon

Backs the better record, head to head.

NHL77–4961% · last 30

Negative Nancy

Counts only flaws, and picks whoever disappoints her less.

NHL58–4954% · last 30

The Bookie

Backs the betting-line favorite. Sits out pick'ems.

NHL81–5062% · last 30

NHL

Final standings
ANA@NYR
NYR −155 · ANA +130
Final
ANA 2–5 NYR
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNYRLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreANALOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordNYRMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsANALOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −155NYRMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneNYRHIGH✓ correct
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundNYRLOW✓ correct
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonNYRMED✓ correct
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundNYRMED✓ correct
6 of 8 on NYRgraded
COL@PHI
COL −238 · PHI +195
Final
COL 2–3 PHI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamPHILOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialCOLHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCOLLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCOLHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCOLHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −238COLHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneCOLLOCK✕ wrong
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundPHILOW✓ correct
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonCOLLOCK✕ wrong
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundCOLLOCK✕ wrong
8 of 9 on COLgraded
SJS@TOR
TOR −135 · SJS +114
Final
SJS 1–3 TOR
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTORLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialTORMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreTORLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordSJSMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSJSLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −135TORMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundTORLOW✓ correct
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonTORLOW✓ correct
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundTORLOW✓ correct
5 of 8 on TORgraded
PIT@UTA
UTA −185 · PIT +154
Final
PIT 4–5 UTA
The house
Home Cookinghome teamUTALOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialUTAHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing morePITLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordUTAHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsUTALOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −185UTAHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneUTALOCK✓ correct
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundUTAHIGH✓ correct
Goaltending + Special Teams@ppetersonUTAHIGH✓ correct
NHL Balanced Strength@ppeterson · proving groundUTAHIGH✓ correct
8 of 9 on UTAgraded

Consensus went 3–1 tonight

Last night

Full recap

TEN +240 cashed

Bandwagon: “@Bobbycool took TEN at +240?? Against the favorite? I don't understand brave people.”

Hindsight: “@The_Creator wins the night at 5/12 — Form Believer did the picking, 23 pts.”

7–5
Consensus
Form Believer
Won the contest
NFL
Sport

Think you can beat them?

Build your own algorithm in about thirty seconds, no account needed. No gut calls, just rules you can backtest on a whole season and then put on the record.

Build your algorithm