Sunday, October 11

Tonight at Hindsight

How last night's calls actually went.

NHL · 3 gamesNFL · 13 games

Tonight's slate · Previous day

The Bookie likes Washington Capitals at −218. Negative Nancy, naturally, is on Seattle Kraken.

On the record tonight

Leaderboard

Ranked by lifetime record, adjusted for sample size. Min. 8 decided picks, user algorithms ahead of the house, running within a week of that date. Algorithms with public rules show what they like tonight.

@TopShelfPicks · MLB
58.4%
All picks
76.1%
Lock picks
±4.2 ·543 picks
Flat stake +10.4u+1.9% ROI
Last 30 days · 152–89 · +23.9u
LOCK76.1%54–17+9.4uHIGH58.3%120–86−2.6uMED53.6%127–110−0.1uLOW55.2%16–13+3.7u
Last ran Oct 7

Sat this slate out.

@The_Chosen_One · MLB
58.7%
All picks
67.9%
Lock picks
±5.2 ·356 picks
Flat stake +1.3u+0.4% ROI
Last 30 days · 102–59 · +13.6u
LOCK67.9%19–9+0.7uHIGH61.4%94–59+0.8uMED56.1%87–68−0.2uLOW45.0%9–11+0.1u
Last ran Oct 7

Sat this slate out.

@The_Chosen_One · NHL
63.9%
All picks
57.1%
High picks
±11.5 ·72 picks
Flat stake +6.0u+8.5% ROI
Last 30 days · 46–26 · +6.0u
LOCK81.3%13–3+5.5uHIGH57.1%16–12−0.4uMED63.6%14–8+2.6uLOW50.0%3–3−1.6u
Ran this slate
How it went
SEA+180SEA @ WSHEdgeHIGH✓ correct
NYR−278VAN @ NYRHIGH✓ correct
CAR−230CAR @ PHIMED✓ correct
@The_Creator · MLB
55.4%
All picks
74.0%
Lock picks
±3.8 ·655 picks
Flat stake −19.4u−3.0% ROI
Last 30 days · 137–104 · −4.8uStreak · 6W
LOCK74.0%37–13+5.7uHIGH56.2%154–120−14.3uMED53.8%148–127−5.4uLOW42.9%24–32−5.3u
Last ran Oct 7

Sat this slate out.

@The_Chosen_One · MLB
55.8%
All picks
78.4%
Lock picks
±4.5 ·473 picks
Flat stake +1.1u+0.2% ROI
Last 30 days · 127–82 · +13.2u
LOCK78.4%40–11+9.5uHIGH63.7%72–41+4.8uMED49.3%68–70−13.9uLOW49.1%84–87+0.8u
Last ran Oct 7

Sat this slate out.

@The_Chosen_One · MLB
54.8%
All picks
72.3%
Lock picks
±4.6 ·453 picks
Flat stake −28.4u−6.4% ROI
Last 30 days · 119–92 · −6.5u
LOCK72.3%60–23+8.9uHIGH55.6%80–64−6.5uMED48.8%83–87−22.1uLOW44.6%25–31−8.6u
Last ran Oct 7

Sat this slate out.

The house cast

The house cast enters every contest, runs the same rules every night, and gets graded like everyone else. They are the field you have to beat.

Home Cooking

Always picks the home team. No stats, no exceptions.

NHL47–3955% · last 30
NFL35–3252% · last 30

The Professor

Backs whoever scores more and allows less per game.

NHL34–2063% · last 30
NFL18–1260% · last 30

Coin Flip

Picks a side at random, the same way every time.

NHL40–4647% · last 30
NFL30–3745% · last 30

Bandwagon

Backs the better record, head to head.

NHL47–3359% · last 30
NFL42–2563% · last 30

Negative Nancy

Counts only flaws, and picks whoever disappoints her less.

NHL37–3055% · last 30
NFL24–2351% · last 30

The Bookie

Backs the betting-line favorite. Sits out pick'ems.

NHL51–3361% · last 30
NFL45–2267% · last 30
SEA@WSH
WSH −218 · SEA +180
Final
SEA 5–3 WSH
UPSET · +180 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamWSHLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialSEAHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSEALOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordSEAHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSEAMED✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −218WSHHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneSEAHIGH✓ correct
6 of 9 on SEAgraded
VAN@NYR
NYR −278 · VAN +225
Final
VAN 2–6 NYR
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNYRLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreVANLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordNYRHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsNYRMED✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −278NYRHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneNYRHIGH✓ correct
7 of 8 on NYRgraded
CAR@PHI
CAR −230 · PHI +190
Final
CAR 4–1 PHI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamPHILOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialCARHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCARLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordCARHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCARLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −230CARHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneCARMED✓ correct
8 of 9 on CARgraded

Consensus went 3–0 tonight

PHI@JAX
JAX −380 · PHI +300
Final
PHI 17–19 JAX
The house
Home Cookinghome teamJAXLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter point differentialJAXHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing morePHILOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordJAXHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsJAXLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −380JAXHIGH✓ correct
10 of 11 on JAXgraded
CIN@MIA
CIN −355 · MIA +280
Final
CIN 31–24 MIA
The house
Home Cookinghome teamMIALOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter point differentialCINHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreMIALOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCINMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCINLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −355CINHIGH✓ correct
9 of 11 on CINgraded
LV@NE
NE −180 · LV +150
Final
LV 17–45 NE
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNELOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNELOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordNEHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsLVHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −180NEMED✓ correct
5 of 10 on NEgraded
MIN@NO
MIN −142 · NO +120
Final
MIN 23–13 NO
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNOLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNOLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordMINHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsNOLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −142MINLOW✓ correct
6 of 10 on MINgraded
CLE@NYJ
NYJ −142 · CLE +120
Final
CLE 12–17 NYJ
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNYJLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCLELOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCLEHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCLELOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −142NYJLOW✓ correct
5 of 9 on CLEgraded
IND@PIT
PIT −162 · IND +136
Final
IND 22–34 PIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamPITLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing morePITLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordPITMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsINDLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −162PITLOW✓ correct
5 of 10 on PITgraded
HOU@TEN
HOU −310 · TEN +250
Final
HOU 26–3 TEN
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTENLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreHOULOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordHOUHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsTENLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −310HOUHIGH✓ correct
7 of 10 on HOUgraded
NYG@WAS
WAS −180 · NYG +150
Final
NYG 27–27 WAS
The house
Home Cookinghome teamWASLOW
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNYGLOW
Bandwagonbetter recordNYGHIGH
Negative Nancyfewer flawsWASHIGH
The Bookiemarket favorite −180WASMED
7 of 10 on WASgraded
DEN@LAC
DEN −192 · LAC +160
Final
DEN 23–17 LAC
The house
Home Cookinghome teamLACLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter point differentialDENMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreDENLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordDENHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsDENHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −192DENMED✓ correct
7 of 11 on DENgraded
DET@ARI
DET −265 · ARI +215
Final
DET 45–21 ARI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamARILOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreDETLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordDETHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsDETLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −265DETHIGH✓ correct
9 of 10 on DETgraded
CHI@GB
CHI −125 · GB +105
Final
CHI 7–31 GB
The house
Home Cookinghome teamGBLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter point differentialCHIHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCHILOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCHIMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCHIHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −125CHILOW✕ wrong
10 of 11 on CHIgraded
SF@SEA
SEA −166 · SF +140
Final
SF 32–29 SEA
UPSET · +140 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamSEALOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter point differentialSFMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSEALOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordSFLOW✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSFHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −166SEAMED✕ wrong
7 of 11 on SFgraded
BAL@ATL
ATL −175 · BAL +145
Final
BAL 30–23 ATL
UPSET · +145 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamATLLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreBALLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordBALLOW✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsBALLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −175ATLMED✕ wrong
7 of 10 on BALgraded

Consensus went 8–2 tonight

Last night

Full recap

An underdog paid out tonight

The Bookie: “TOR +180 cashed for @The_Creator. Somewhere, an actuary is crying.”

The Bookie: “I hit 10/14 and got out-pointed anyway. Accuracy is cheap. Conviction is expensive.”

10–1
Consensus
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)
Won the contest
NHL
Sport

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