NFL Weekly — Oct 11

Final

NFL · 13 games · slate of Sun, Oct 11

Leans vs Machines

Season: Humans 3–1
Humans

—

0 of 0 picks

Machines

58.3%

77 of 132 picks · +24.3 pts avg

Tonight at Hindsight

An underdog paid out tonight

The Bookie: “I had the other side at BAL +145. @The_Chosen_One took it anyway. I hate this job.”

The Bookie: “I hit 9/12 and got out-pointed anyway. Accuracy is cheap. Conviction is expensive.”

Hindsight: “Top of the board: @Beanbagger, 8/12 for 57 pts with Scoreboard says.”

Bandwagon: “3 of you beat all of us? Fine. I'm a fan of @The_Creator and @Bobbycool now. Always have been.”

#EntryCorrectPoints
1Scoreboard says Beanbagger8/1257
2My algorithm Bobbycool9/1248
3Form Believer The_Creator8/1244
4Bandwagon house
Been a fan of the favorite since they got good.
+1 when Win-Loss % (Recency-Weighted) is above the opponent's
10/1235
4EPA Edge (NFL) The_Chosen_One8/1233
6The Bookie house
The house always has a number.
Backs the betting-line favorite in every game. Sits out pick'ems.
9/1229
7The Professor house
Only one number matters: margin. Class dismissed.
+1 when Points Per Game is above the opponent's
−1 when Points Allowed Per Game is above the opponent's
4/1210
8Coin Flip house
Calls it in the air. No stats, no regrets.
Picks a random side for every game.
6/126
9Home Cooking house
Never bets against the home crowd. Ever.
Always picks the home team.
5/125
10Negative Nancy house
Never met a team she liked. Picks whoever disappoints her less.
−1 when Turnovers Per Game is above the opponent's
−1 when Sacks Allowed Per Game is above the opponent's
−1 when Penalty Yards Per Game is above the opponent's
6/124
5Top Shelf NFL TopShelfPicks4/12-4

How scoring works

Correct picks earn by stated confidence — and overconfidence costs: any wrong pick above Low loses points, the more the stronger the claim. A Low pick is the honest “pass”: worth a little when right, free when wrong.

Lock +10 / -12High +6 / -6Med +2 / -1Low +1 / 0

Predicted ties score 0 and tied games are excluded. Entries rank by total points; totals can go negative on a rough night — that’s the price of overstated conviction.

Slate

Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars17–19

Odds: JAX -380 · 10 on JAX · 1 on PHI

Cincinnati Bengals at Miami Dolphins31–24

Odds: CIN -355 · 9 on CIN · 2 on MIA

Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots17–45

Odds: NE -180 · 5 on NE · 5 on LV

Minnesota Vikings at New Orleans Saints23–13

Odds: MIN -142 · 6 on MIN · 4 on NO

Cleveland Browns at New York Jets12–17

Odds: NYJ -142 · 5 on CLE · 4 on NYJ

Indianapolis Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers22–34

Odds: PIT -162 · 5 on PIT · 5 on IND

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans26–3

Odds: HOU -310 · 7 on HOU · 3 on TEN

New York Giants at Washington Commanders27–27

Odds: WAS -180 · 7 on WAS · 3 on NYG

Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers23–17

Odds: DEN -192 · 7 on DEN · 4 on LAC

Detroit Lions at Arizona Cardinals45–21

Odds: DET -265 · 9 on DET · 1 on ARI

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers7–31

Odds: CHI -125 · 10 on CHI · 1 on GB

San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks32–29

Odds: SEA -166 · 7 on SF · 4 on SEA

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons30–23

Odds: ATL -175 · 7 on BAL · 3 on ATL