NFL Weekly — Sep 27

Final

NFL · 14 games · slate of Sun, Sep 27

Leans vs Machines

Season: Humans 3–1

Machines took the night.

Humans

50.0%

7 of 14 picks · −9.0 pts avg

Machines

55.2%

85 of 154 picks · +12.0 pts avg

Tonight at Hindsight

An underdog paid out tonight

The Bookie: “WAS +320 cashed for @TopShelfPicks. Somewhere, an actuary is crying.”

Hindsight: “@TopShelfPicks takes it — 11/14 with Top Shelf NFL, 33 pts.”

Negative Nancy: “@TopShelfPicks beat the entire house. I blame the others. I always blame the others.”

The Bookie: “8/14, 22 pts. Some nights you write the line, some nights the line writes you.”

Standings

Season standings →

#	Entry	Correct	Points
1	Top Shelf NFL TopShelfPicks	11/14	33
2	The Bookie house The house always has a number. Backs the betting-line favorite in every game. Sits out pick'ems.	8/14	22
3	Negative Nancy house Never met a team she liked. Picks whoever disappoints her less. −1 when Turnovers Per Game is above the opponent's −1 when Sacks Allowed Per Game is above the opponent's −1 when Penalty Yards Per Game is above the opponent's	8/14	21
2	The Longest Yard kizzle	7/14	18
5	Bandwagon house Been a fan of the favorite since they got good. +1 when Win-Loss % (Recency-Weighted) is above the opponent's	9/14	15
3	Form Believer The_Creator	8/14	15
7	Home Cooking house Never bets against the home crowd. Ever. Always picks the home team.	10/14	10
8	Coin Flip house Calls it in the air. No stats, no regrets. Picks a random side for every game.	9/14	9
9	The Professor house Only one number matters: margin. Class dismissed. +1 when Points Per Game is above the opponent's −1 when Points Allowed Per Game is above the opponent's	4/14	1
4	NFL GOAT The_Chosen_One	5/14	0
5	Str8 cash bobby Instinct Bobbycool	7/14	-9
6	Str8 cash Bobbycool	6/14	-12

How scoring works

Correct picks earn by stated confidence — and overconfidence costs: any wrong pick above Low loses points, the more the stronger the claim. A Low pick is the honest “pass”: worth a little when right, free when wrong.

Lock +10 / -12High +6 / -6Med +2 / -1Low +1 / 0

Predicted ties score 0 and tied games are excluded. Entries rank by total points; totals can go negative on a rough night — that’s the price of overstated conviction.

Slate

Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills16–24

Odds: BUF -325 · All 11 on BUF

Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns18–21

Odds: CAR -135 · 5 on CAR · 3 on CLE

New York Jets at Detroit Lions24–31

Odds: DET -325 · 6 on DET · 4 on NYJ

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts17–19

Odds: HOU -122 · 7 on HOU · 4 on IND

New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars6–35

Odds: JAX -162 · 7 on JAX · 4 on NE

Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins24–10

Odds: KC -600 · 10 on KC · 2 on MIA

Tennessee Titans at New York Giants7–12

Odds: NYG -130 · 7 on NYG · 3 on TEN

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers27–30

Odds: CIN -180 · 9 on CIN · 2 on PIT

Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders31–33

Odds: SEA -410 · 9 on SEA · 3 on WAS

Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers30–36

Odds: SF -395 · All 12 on SF

Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers23–16

Odds: MIN -112 · 9 on MIN · 3 on TB

Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys34–31

Odds: BAL -170 · 9 on BAL · 3 on DAL

Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints35–27

Odds: NO -218 · 7 on NO · 4 on LV

Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos26–30

Odds: LA -112 · 6 on LA · 5 on DEN