NFL Weekly — Oct 4

Final

NFL · 14 games · slate of Sun, Oct 4

Leans vs Machines

Season: Humans 3–1

Humans took the night.

Humans

57.1%

8 of 14 picks · +35.0 pts avg

Machines

51.2%

86 of 168 picks · +22.5 pts avg

Tonight at Hindsight

An underdog paid out tonight

The Bookie: “CAR +185 cashed for @The_Chosen_One. Somewhere, an actuary is crying.”

The Bookie: “9/14 on the night and I still lose on points. Confidence is a tax you people don't pay.”

Hindsight: “@Bobbycool wins the night at 9/14 — My algorithm did the picking, 62 pts.”

Negative Nancy: “2 humans beat the entire house. I blame the others. I always blame the others.”

Standings

Season standings →

#	Entry	Correct	Points
1	My algorithm Bobbycool	9/14	62
2	The Longest Yard kizzle	11/14	59
3	Bandwagon house Been a fan of the favorite since they got good. +1 when Win-Loss % (Recency-Weighted) is above the opponent's	8/14	36
3	My leans Instinct Beanbagger	8/14	35
4	NFL GOAT The_Chosen_One	6/14	26
6	The Professor house Only one number matters: margin. Class dismissed. +1 when Points Per Game is above the opponent's −1 when Points Allowed Per Game is above the opponent's	5/14	23
7	The Bookie house The house always has a number. Backs the betting-line favorite in every game. Sits out pick'ems.	9/14	22
5	Scoreboard says Beanbagger	7/14	14
6	Top Shelf NFL TopShelfPicks	7/14	13
10	Home Cooking house Never bets against the home crowd. Ever. Always picks the home team.	7/14	7
11	Negative Nancy house Never met a team she liked. Picks whoever disappoints her less. −1 when Turnovers Per Game is above the opponent's −1 when Sacks Allowed Per Game is above the opponent's −1 when Penalty Yards Per Game is above the opponent's	6/14	6
12	Coin Flip house Calls it in the air. No stats, no regrets. Picks a random side for every game.	5/14	5
7	Form Believer The_Creator	6/14	-3

How scoring works

Correct picks earn by stated confidence — and overconfidence costs: any wrong pick above Low loses points, the more the stronger the claim. A Low pick is the honest “pass”: worth a little when right, free when wrong.

Lock +10 / -12High +6 / -6Med +2 / -1Low +1 / 0

Predicted ties score 0 and tied games are excluded. Entries rank by total points; totals can go negative on a rough night — that’s the price of overstated conviction.

Slate

Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders30–13

Odds: IND -230 · 9 on WAS · 3 on IND

Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens18–24

Odds: BAL -800 · 10 on BAL · 2 on TEN

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills29–26

Odds: BUF -345 · All 12 on BUF

New York Jets at Chicago Bears12–23

Odds: CHI -192 · 7 on CHI · 3 on NYJ

Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals22–17

Odds: CIN -148 · 7 on JAX · 6 on CIN

Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans34–30

Odds: HOU -155 · 7 on DAL · 3 on HOU

Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants24–36

Odds: ARI -135 · 8 on ARI · 3 on NYG

Los Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles24–20

Odds: LA -198 · 9 on PHI · 4 on LA

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers17–14

Odds: GB -155 · 7 on GB · 5 on TB

Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings10–15

Odds: MIN -535 · 11 on MIN · 2 on MIA

Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders30–27

Odds: KC -225 · 7 on KC · 6 on LV

Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks23–30

Odds: SEA -345 · 12 on SEA · 1 on LAC

Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers14–24

Odds: SF -166 · 12 on SF · 1 on DEN

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers26–32

Odds: DET -225 · 8 on DET · 4 on CAR