Thursday, October 22

Tonight at Hindsight

How last night's calls actually went.

NHL · 12 games

Tonight's slate · Previous day

The Bookie likes Boston Bruins at −148.

On the record tonight

Leaderboard

Ranked by lifetime record, adjusted for sample size. Min. 8 decided picks, user algorithms ahead of the house, running within a week of that date. Algorithms with public rules show what they like tonight.

@The_Chosen_One · NHL
59.3%
All picks
64.5%
High picks
±8.1 ·145 picks
Flat stake +5.7u+4.0% ROI
Last 30 days · 86–59 · +5.7u
LOCK73.7%14–5+1.6uHIGH64.5%20–11−0.7uMED58.7%27–19+3.7uLOW51.0%25–24+1.1u
Ran this slate
How it went
FLA−112FLA @ PITLOCK✕ wrong
DET−170DET @ VANLOCK✓ correct
VEG−125VEG @ STLHIGH✕ wrong
@TopShelfPicks · NHL
59.6%
All picks
68.4%
High picks
±9.4 ·109 picks
Flat stake +4.1u+3.8% ROI
Last 30 days · 65–44 · +4.1u
LOCK50.0%3–3−1.8uHIGH68.4%26–12+5.6uMED54.9%28–23−3.1uLOW57.1%8–6+3.4u
Last ran Oct 15

Sat this slate out.

@The_Chosen_One · NHL
58.3%
All picks
78.3%
Lock picks
±8.7 ·127 picks
Flat stake −1.5u−1.2% ROI
Last 30 days · 74–53 · −1.5u
LOCK78.3%18–5+5.9uHIGH54.7%29–24−3.1uMED53.3%24–21−2.6uLOW50.0%3–3−1.6u
Ran this slate
How it went
BOS−148NSH @ BOSHIGH✓ correct
NYR−112NYR @ TORHIGH✕ wrong
OTT−135SJS @ OTTHIGH✕ wrong
@ppeterson · NBA
80.0%
All picks
80.0%
Last 30 days
±31.0 ·10 picks
Flat stake +3.1u+31.4% ROI
LOCK80.0%4–1+0.8uHIGH100.0%4–0+3.3uMED0.0%0–1−1.0uLOW—0–0—
Last ran Oct 21

Sat this slate out.

@The_Creator · NHL
57.9%
All picks
56.1%
Med picks
±9.2 ·114 picks
Flat stake +7.5u+6.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 66–48 · +7.5u
LOCK—0–0—HIGH50.0%1–1−0.5uMED56.1%46–36+0.5uLOW63.3%19–11+7.5u
Last ran Oct 15

Sat this slate out.

@The_Creator · NFL
56.3%
All picks
69.0%
Lock picks
±11.6 ·71 picks
Flat stake −1.9u−2.8% ROI
Last 30 days · 27–19 · −0.5u
LOCK69.0%20–9+4.2uHIGH47.1%8–9−3.0uMED50.0%10–10−1.4uLOW40.0%2–3−1.8u
Last ran Oct 18

Sat this slate out.

The house cast

The house cast enters every contest, runs the same rules every night, and gets graded like everyone else. They are the field you have to beat.

Home Cooking

Always picks the home team. No stats, no exceptions.

NHL92–6559% · last 30

The Professor

Backs whoever scores more and allows less per game.

NHL58–3960% · last 30

Coin Flip

Picks a side at random, the same way every time.

NHL76–8148% · last 30

Bandwagon

Backs the better record, head to head.

NHL82–6655% · last 30

Negative Nancy

Counts only flaws, and picks whoever disappoints her less.

NHL67–6053% · last 30

The Bookie

Backs the betting-line favorite. Sits out pick'ems.

NHL92–6160% · last 30
NSH@BOS
BOS −148 · NSH +124
Final
NSH 0–6 BOS
The house
Home Cookinghome teamBOSLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialBOSHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNSHLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordBOSHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsBOSLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −148BOSMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundNSHLOW✕ wrong
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneBOSHIGH✓ correct
8 of 9 on BOSgraded
NYR@TOR
NYR −112 · TOR −108
Final
NYR 4–5 TOR
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTORLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreTORLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordNYRHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsNYRLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −112NYRLOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundTORLOW✓ correct
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneNYRHIGH✕ wrong
6 of 8 on NYRgraded
SJS@OTT
OTT −135 · SJS +114
Final
SJS 6–2 OTT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamOTTLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreOTTLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordOTTMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsOTTLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −135OTTMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundSJSMED✓ correct
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneOTTHIGH✕ wrong
8 of 8 on OTTgraded
ANA@NJD
NJD −218 · ANA +180
Final
ANA 1–4 NJD
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNJDLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialANALOW✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreANALOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordANAMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsNJDMED✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −218NJDHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundNJDMED✓ correct
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneNJDMED✓ correct
5 of 9 on ANAgraded
FLA@PIT
FLA −112 · PIT −108
Final
FLA 0–4 PIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamPITLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialFLAHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreFLALOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordFLAHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsPITLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −112FLALOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundFLALOCK✕ wrong
6 of 8 on FLAgraded
LAK@NYI
LAK −115 · NYI −105
Final
LAK 3–2 NYI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNYILOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialNYIHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNYILOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordNYIHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsNYIHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −115LAKLOW✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundLAKLOW✓ correct
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneNYIHIGH✕ wrong
8 of 9 on NYIgraded
VEG@STL
VEG −125 · STL +105
Final
VEG 2–6 STL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamSTLLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialVEGHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSTLLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordVEGHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsVEGHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −125VEGMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundVEGHIGH✕ wrong
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneVEGHIGH✕ wrong
7 of 9 on VEGgraded
WPG@DAL
DAL −205 · WPG +170
Final
WPG 2–3 DAL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamDALLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreDALLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordWPGMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsDALLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −205DALHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundWPGLOW✕ wrong
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneWPGMED✕ wrong
6 of 8 on DALgraded
MIN@CGY
MIN −218 · CGY +180
Final
MIN 1–2 CGY
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCGYLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialMINHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCGYLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordMINHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsMINLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −218MINHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundCGYLOW✓ correct
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneMINHIGH✕ wrong
7 of 9 on MINgraded
CAR@EDM
CAR −135 · EDM +114
Final
CAR 5–6 EDM
The house
Home Cookinghome teamEDMLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreEDMLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordCARLOW✕ wrong
Negative Nancyno pick
The Bookiemarket favorite −135CARMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundCARHIGH✕ wrong
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneCARMED✕ wrong
4 of 7 on CARgraded
UTA@SEA
UTA −180 · SEA +150
Final
UTA 3–5 SEA
The house
Home Cookinghome teamSEALOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSEALOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordUTAMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsUTAHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −180UTAHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundUTAHIGH✕ wrong
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneUTAHIGH✕ wrong
6 of 8 on UTAgraded
DET@VAN
DET −170 · VAN +142
Final
DET 5–2 VAN
The house
Home Cookinghome teamVANLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreVANLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordDETHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsVANLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −170DETHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundDETLOCK✓ correct
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneDETHIGH✓ correct
5 of 8 on DETgraded

Consensus went 3–9 tonight

Last night

Full recap

The Bookie won games and lost the night

The Bookie: “I hit 9/11 and got out-pointed anyway. Accuracy is cheap. Conviction is expensive.”

Hindsight: “@TopShelfPicks wins the night at 8/11 — Hot hand did the picking, 52 pts.”

7–3
Consensus
Hot hand
Won the contest
NBA
Sport

Think you can beat them?

Build your own algorithm in about thirty seconds, no account needed. No gut calls, just rules you can backtest on a whole season and then put on the record.

Build your algorithm