Hindsight

Thursday, October 15

Tonight at Hindsight

How last night's calls actually went.

NHL · 11 games

Tonight's slate · Previous day

The Bookie likes Toronto Maple Leafs at −122. Negative Nancy, naturally, is on Buffalo Sabres.

On the record tonight

Leaderboard

Ranked by lifetime record, adjusted for sample size. Min. 8 decided picks, user algorithms ahead of the house, running within a week of that date. Algorithms with public rules show what they like tonight.

Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)
@The_Chosen_One · NHL
63.8%
All picks
61.1%
High picks
±10.1 ·94 picks
Flat stake +8.8u+9.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 60–34 · +8.8u
LOCK83.3%15–3+6.7uHIGH61.1%22–14+2.2uMED58.8%20–14+1.5uLOW50.0%3–3−1.6u
Ran this slate
How it went
VEG−285CGY @ VEGLOCK✓ correct
DET−148PHI @ DETHIGH✓ correct
WPG−125WPG @ CHIHIGH✕ wrong
Quinn Hughes to NJ
@TopShelfPicks · NHL
59.6%
All picks
68.4%
High picks
±9.4 ·109 picks
Flat stake +4.1u+3.8% ROI
Last 30 days · 65–44 · +4.1u
LOCK50.0%3–3−1.8uHIGH68.4%26–12+5.6uMED54.9%28–23−3.1uLOW57.1%8–6+3.4u
Ran this slate
How it went
NYR+110NYR @ NJDEdgeHIGH✕ wrong
EDM−105UTA @ EDMEdgeHIGH✕ wrong
VEG−285CGY @ VEGHIGH✓ correct
My algorithm
@Bobbycool · NFL
69.2%
All picks
69.2%
Last 30 days
±19.2 ·26 picks
Flat stake +3.5u+13.4% ROI
LOCK85.7%12–2+5.6uHIGH100.0%2–0+1.5uMED33.3%2–4−2.6uLOW50.0%2–2−1.0u
Last ran Oct 11

Sat this slate out.

The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)
@The_Chosen_One · NHL
59.4%
All picks
66.7%
High picks
±9.5 ·106 picks
Flat stake +2.8u+2.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 63–43 · +2.8u
LOCK73.3%11–4+1.4uHIGH66.7%16–8+0.2uMED62.9%22–13+6.1uLOW43.8%14–18−4.9u
Ran this slate
How it went
FLA−298VAN @ FLALOCK✓ correct
DET−148PHI @ DETLOCK✓ correct
TBL−278SEA @ TBLHIGH✓ correct
Goaltending & special teams
@The_Creator · NHL
57.9%
All picks
56.1%
Med picks
±9.2 ·114 picks
Flat stake +7.5u+6.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 66–48 · +7.5u
LOCK—0–0—HIGH50.0%1–1−0.5uMED56.1%46–36+0.5uLOW63.3%19–11+7.5u
Ran this slate
How it went
TOR−122BUF @ TORMED✕ wrong
NYI+136NYI @ OTTEdgeMED✕ wrong
SEA+225SEA @ TBLEdgeMED✕ wrong
Form Believer
@The_Creator · NFL
57.4%
All picks
65.4%
Lock picks
±12.5 ·61 picks
Flat stake −0.8u−1.3% ROI
Last 30 days · 29–20 · +1.4u
LOCK65.4%17–9+2.9uHIGH50.0%7–7−2.6uMED56.3%9–7+0.8uLOW40.0%2–3−1.8u
Last ran Oct 11

Sat this slate out.

The house cast

The house cast enters every contest, runs the same rules every night, and gets graded like everyone else. They are the field you have to beat.

Home Cooking

Always picks the home team. No stats, no exceptions.

NHL64–5255% · last 30

The Professor

Backs whoever scores more and allows less per game.

NHL46–2862% · last 30

Coin Flip

Picks a side at random, the same way every time.

NHL56–6048% · last 30

Bandwagon

Backs the better record, head to head.

NHL66–4261% · last 30

Negative Nancy

Counts only flaws, and picks whoever disappoints her less.

NHL52–3957% · last 30

The Bookie

Backs the betting-line favorite. Sits out pick'ems.

NHL69–4461% · last 30

NHL

Final standings

Humans 0/11 · Machines 67/121 — machines took the night

BUF@TOR
TOR −122 · BUF +102
Final
BUF 5–4 TOR
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTORLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialTORHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreBUFLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordTORHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsBUFLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −122TORLOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneTORMED✕ wrong
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundBUFMED✓ correct
Goaltending & special teams@The_CreatorTORMED✕ wrong
8 of 10 on TORgraded
NYI@OTT
OTT −162 · NYI +136
Final
NYI 1–2 OTT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamOTTLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNYILOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordOTTHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsOTTMED✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −162OTTHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneOTTMED✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksOTTMED✓ correct
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundNYILOW✕ wrong
Goaltending & special teams@The_CreatorNYIMED✕ wrong
8 of 10 on OTTgraded
SEA@TBL
TBL −278 · SEA +225
Final
SEA 3–4 TBL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTBLLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSEALOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordTBLHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsTBLMED✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −278TBLHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneTBLMED✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksSEAMED✕ wrong
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundTBLHIGH✓ correct
Goaltending & special teams@The_CreatorSEAMED✕ wrong
6 of 10 on TBLgraded
VAN@FLA
FLA −298 · VAN +240
Final
VAN 2–3 FLA
The house
Home Cookinghome teamFLALOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreFLALOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordFLAHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsVANLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −298FLAHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneFLAMED✓ correct
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundFLALOCK✓ correct
Goaltending & special teams@The_CreatorFLALOW✓ correct
8 of 9 on FLAgraded
NYR@NJD
NJD −130 · NYR +110
Final
NYR 1–7 NJD
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNJDLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialNYRHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNJDLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordNYRHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyno pick
The Bookiemarket favorite −130NJDMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneNYRMED✕ wrong
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksNYRHIGH✕ wrong
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundNJDMED✓ correct
Goaltending & special teams@The_CreatorNYRMED✕ wrong
7 of 10 on NYRgraded
PHI@DET
DET −148 · PHI +124
Final
PHI 1–2 DET
The house
Home Cookinghome teamDETLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialDETHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing morePHILOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordDETHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsDETLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −148DETMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneDETHIGH✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksDETMED✓ correct
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundDETLOCK✓ correct
Goaltending & special teams@The_CreatorDETMED✓ correct
10 of 11 on DETgraded
WPG@CHI
WPG −125 · CHI +105
Final
WPG 3–4 CHI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCHILOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialWPGHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreWPGLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordWPGHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsWPGLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −125WPGMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneWPGHIGH✕ wrong
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksCHILOW✓ correct
Goaltending & special teams@The_CreatorWPGMED✕ wrong
9 of 11 on WPGgraded
SJS@NSH
NSH −130 · SJS +110
Final
SJS 3–2 NSH
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNSHLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialNSHMED✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSJSLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonno pick
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSJSLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −130NSHMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksSJSMED✓ correct
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundNSHMED✕ wrong
Goaltending & special teams@The_CreatorNSHMED✕ wrong
5 of 9 on NSHgraded
STL@MIN
MIN −142 · STL +120
Final
STL 4–5 MIN
The house
Home Cookinghome teamMINLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialMINHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreMINLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordMINHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyno pick
The Bookiemarket favorite −142MINMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneMINMED✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksSTLMED✕ wrong
Goaltending & special teams@The_CreatorMINMED✓ correct
8 of 10 on MINgraded
UTA@EDM
UTA −115 · EDM −105
Final
UTA 4–2 EDM
The house
Home Cookinghome teamEDMLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreUTALOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordEDMHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsUTALOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −115UTALOW✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneUTAMED✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksEDMHIGH✕ wrong
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundUTALOW✓ correct
Goaltending & special teams@The_CreatorUTAMED✓ correct
6 of 10 on UTAgraded
CGY@VEG
VEG −285 · CGY +230
Final
CGY 2–6 VEG
The house
Home Cookinghome teamVEGLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialVEGHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCGYLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordVEGHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsVEGMED✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −285VEGHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneVEGLOCK✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksVEGHIGH✓ correct
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundVEGHIGH✓ correct
Goaltending & special teams@The_CreatorVEGLOW✓ correct
10 of 11 on VEGgraded

Consensus went 7–4 tonight

Last night

Full recap

NYR +136 cashed

The Bookie: “I had the other side at NYR +136. @TopShelfPicks took it anyway. I hate this job.”

Hindsight: “@The_Chosen_One wins the night at 6/16 — Standings + Shot Volume (NHL) did the picking, 30 pts.”

9–6
Consensus
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)
Won the contest
NHL
Sport

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