Tuesday, October 13

Tonight at Hindsight

How last night's calls actually went.

NHL · 16 games

Tonight's slate · Previous day

The Bookie likes Detroit Red Wings at −115. Negative Nancy, naturally, is on New Jersey Devils.

On the record tonight

Leaderboard

Ranked by lifetime record, adjusted for sample size. Min. 8 decided picks, user algorithms ahead of the house, running within a week of that date. Algorithms with public rules show what they like tonight.

@TopShelfPicks · MLB
58.4%
All picks
76.1%
Lock picks
±4.2 ·543 picks
Flat stake +10.4u+1.9% ROI
Last 30 days · 130–81 · +17.7u
LOCK76.1%54–17+9.4uHIGH58.3%120–86−2.6uMED53.6%127–110−0.1uLOW55.2%16–13+3.7u
Last ran Oct 7

Sat this slate out.

@The_Chosen_One · MLB
58.7%
All picks
67.9%
Lock picks
±5.2 ·356 picks
Flat stake +1.3u+0.4% ROI
Last 30 days · 84–51 · +10.1u
LOCK67.9%19–9+0.7uHIGH61.4%94–59+0.8uMED56.1%87–68−0.2uLOW45.0%9–11+0.1u
Last ran Oct 7

Sat this slate out.

@The_Chosen_One · NHL
63.1%
All picks
61.8%
High picks
±10.7 ·84 picks
Flat stake +7.9u+9.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 53–31 · +7.9u
LOCK82.3%14–3+6.4uHIGH61.8%21–13+2.5uMED55.6%15–12+0.6uLOW50.0%3–3−1.6u
Ran this slate
How it went
SEA−108SEA @ PHIEdgeLOCK✓ correct
COL−102COL @ DALHIGH✓ correct
VEG−130VEG @ NSHHIGH✓ correct
@The_Creator · MLB
55.4%
All picks
74.0%
Lock picks
±3.8 ·655 picks
Flat stake −19.4u−3.0% ROI
Last 30 days · 119–92 · −4.3uStreak · 6W
LOCK74.0%37–13+5.7uHIGH56.2%154–120−14.3uMED53.8%148–127−5.4uLOW42.9%24–32−5.3u
Last ran Oct 7

Sat this slate out.

@The_Chosen_One · MLB
55.8%
All picks
78.4%
Lock picks
±4.5 ·473 picks
Flat stake +1.1u+0.2% ROI
Last 30 days · 107–75 · +5.8u
LOCK78.4%40–11+9.5uHIGH63.7%72–41+4.8uMED49.3%68–70−13.9uLOW49.1%84–87+0.8u
Last ran Oct 7

Sat this slate out.

@TopShelfPicks · NHL
60.0%
All picks
71.4%
High picks
±9.8 ·100 picks
Flat stake +4.2u+4.3% ROI
Last 30 days · 60–40 · +4.2u
LOCK50.0%3–3−1.8uHIGH71.4%25–10+7.2uMED54.4%25–21−3.5uLOW53.8%7–6+2.3u
Ran this slate
How it went
DET−115NJD @ DETHIGH✕ wrong
CBJ−135FLA @ CBJHIGH✕ wrong
SEA−108SEA @ PHIHIGH✓ correct

The house cast

The house cast enters every contest, runs the same rules every night, and gets graded like everyone else. They are the field you have to beat.

Home Cooking

Always picks the home team. No stats, no exceptions.

NHL56–4953% · last 30

The Professor

Backs whoever scores more and allows less per game.

NHL43–2464% · last 30

Coin Flip

Picks a side at random, the same way every time.

NHL50–5548% · last 30

Bandwagon

Backs the better record, head to head.

NHL60–3861% · last 30

Negative Nancy

Counts only flaws, and picks whoever disappoints her less.

NHL45–3755% · last 30

The Bookie

Backs the betting-line favorite. Sits out pick'ems.

NHL61–4160% · last 30
NJD@DET
DET −115 · NJD −105
Final
NJD 5–4 DET
The house
Home Cookinghome teamDETLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNJDLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordNJDHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsNJDLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −115DETLOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksDETHIGH✕ wrong
5 of 8 on DETgraded
FLA@CBJ
CBJ −135 · FLA +114
Final
FLA 7–3 CBJ
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCBJLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreFLALOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordFLAMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCBJLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −135CBJMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksCBJHIGH✕ wrong
4 of 8 on CBJgraded
BUF@MTL
MTL −155 · BUF +130
Final
BUF 3–4 MTL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamMTLLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialMTLMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreMTLLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordMTLMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsBUFHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −155MTLMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksMTLMED✓ correct
7 of 8 on MTLgraded
WSH@CAR
CAR −155 · WSH +130
Final
WSH 2–4 CAR
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCARLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialCARMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreWSHLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCARHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCARLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −155CARMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksCARMED✓ correct
8 of 9 on CARgraded
SEA@PHI
PHI −112 · SEA −108
Final
SEA 3–2 PHI
UPSET · −108 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamPHILOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialSEAHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSEALOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordSEAHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSEALOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −112PHILOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneSEALOCK✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksSEAHIGH✓ correct
8 of 10 on SEAgraded
TBL@NYR
TBL −162 · NYR +136
Final
TBL 1–4 NYR
UPSET · +136 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNYRLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialNYRMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNYRLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordTBLMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyno pick
The Bookiemarket favorite −162TBLHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneTBLMED✕ wrong
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksNYRMED✓ correct
6 of 9 on NYRgraded
STL@OTT
STL −125 · OTT +105
Final
STL 7–2 OTT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamOTTLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialOTTHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSTLLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordOTTHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsOTTLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −125STLLOW✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneOTTMED✕ wrong
7 of 9 on OTTgraded
VAN@NYI
NYI −205 · VAN +170
Final
VAN 2–3 NYI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNYILOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNYILOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordNYIMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyno pick
The Bookiemarket favorite −205NYIHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksNYIMED✓ correct
7 of 7 on NYIgraded
PIT@CHI
PIT −162 · CHI +136
Final
PIT 3–5 CHI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCHILOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialPITHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCHILOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordPITHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsPITLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −162PITHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OnePITMED✕ wrong
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksPITHIGH✕ wrong
8 of 10 on PITgraded
MIN@WPG
WPG −110 · MIN −110
Final
MIN 2–5 WPG
The house
Home Cookinghome teamWPGLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialMINHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreMINLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonno pick
Negative Nancyno pick
The Bookieno pick
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneMINMED✕ wrong
5 of 6 on MINgraded
COL@DAL
DAL −118 · COL −102
Final
COL 3–2 DAL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamDALLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreDALLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCOLMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCOLLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −118DALLOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneCOLHIGH✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksCOLMED✓ correct
5 of 9 on DALgraded
VEG@NSH
VEG −130 · NSH +110
Final
VEG 5–2 NSH
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNSHLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialVEGHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNSHLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordVEGHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsVEGLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −130VEGMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneVEGHIGH✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksVEGLOW✓ correct
7 of 10 on VEGgraded
TOR@UTA
UTA −162 · TOR +136
Final
TOR 4–5 UTA
The house
Home Cookinghome teamUTALOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialUTAMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreTORLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordUTAMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsUTALOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −162UTAHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneUTAHIGH✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksUTAMED✓ correct
8 of 10 on UTAgraded
CGY@ANA
ANA −175 · CGY +145
Final
CGY 4–2 ANA
The house
Home Cookinghome teamANALOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialANAHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreANALOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordANAHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsANAMED✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −175ANAHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneANAHIGH✕ wrong
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksANAHIGH✕ wrong
10 of 10 on ANAgraded
EDM@LAK
EDM −130 · LAK +110
Final
EDM 4–1 LAK
The house
Home Cookinghome teamLAKLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialEDMHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreEDMLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordEDMHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsEDMHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −130EDMMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneEDMHIGH✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksEDMHIGH✓ correct
9 of 10 on EDMgraded
BOS@SJS
BOS −130 · SJS +110
Final
BOS 6–3 SJS
The house
Home Cookinghome teamSJSLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialBOSHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSJSLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordBOSMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSJSMED✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −130BOSMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Standings + Shot Volume (NHL)@The_Chosen_OneBOSHIGH✓ correct
Quinn Hughes to NJ@TopShelfPicksBOSMED✓ correct
7 of 10 on BOSgraded

Consensus went 9–6 tonight

Last night

Full recap

The Bookie won games and lost the night

The Bookie: “I hit 2/3 and got out-pointed anyway. Accuracy is cheap. Conviction is expensive.”

Hindsight: “Top of the board: @TopShelfPicks, 2/3 for 7 pts with Quinn Hughes to NJ.”

2–0
Consensus
Quinn Hughes to NJ
Won the contest
NHL
Sport

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