Hindsight

Wednesday, October 7

Tonight at Hindsight

How last night's calls actually went.

NHL · 3 gamesMLB · 4 games

Tonight's slate · Previous day

The Bookie likes Washington Capitals at −155. Negative Nancy, naturally, is on Pittsburgh Penguins.

On the record tonight

Leaderboard

Ranked by lifetime record, adjusted for sample size. Min. 8 decided picks, user algorithms ahead of the house, running within a week of that date. Algorithms with public rules show what they like tonight.

The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)
@The_Chosen_One · NHL
69.4%
All picks
69.4%
Last 30 days
±14.0 ·49 picks
Flat stake +9.6u+20.5% ROI
LOCK63.6%7–4−0.5uHIGH60.0%6–4−0.8uMED63.2%12–7+3.1uLOW100.0%9–0+7.9u
Ran this slate
How it went
PIT+130PIT @ WSHEdgeMED✕ wrong
EDM−135EDM @ ANAMED✓ correct
Super Max Whale
@TopShelfPicks · MLB
58.4%
All picks
76.1%
Lock picks
±4.2 ·543 picks
Flat stake +10.4u+1.9% ROI
Last 30 days · 173–114 · +13.7u
LOCK76.1%54–17+9.4uHIGH58.3%120–86−2.6uMED53.6%127–110−0.1uLOW55.2%16–13+3.7u
Ran this slate
How it went
MIL−107MIL @ SDPHIGH✓ correct
CLE+105CLE @ CHWMED✓ correct
LAD−155LAD @ ATLMED✓ correct
Top Gun Maverick
@The_Chosen_One · MLB
58.7%
All picks
67.9%
Lock picks
±5.2 ·356 picks
Flat stake +1.3u+0.4% ROI
Last 30 days · 118–72 · +11.9u
LOCK67.9%19–9+0.7uHIGH61.4%94–59+0.8uMED56.1%87–68−0.2uLOW45.0%9–11+0.1u
Ran this slate
How it went
CLE+105CLE @ CHWMED✓ correct
Pitching first
@ppeterson · MLB
57.9%
All picks
73.4%
Lock picks
±4.8 ·411 picks
Flat stake +2.7u+0.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 161–112 · +5.3u
LOCK73.4%58–21+8.3uHIGH54.3%63–53−8.5uMED56.1%78–61+2.1uLOW50.6%39–38+0.8u
Last ran Oct 3

Sat this slate out.

The Mathematician
@The_Creator · MLB
55.4%
All picks
74.0%
Lock picks
±3.8 ·655 picks
Flat stake −19.4u−3.0% ROI
Last 30 days · 165–122 · −2.2uStreak · 6W
LOCK74.0%37–13+5.7uHIGH56.2%154–120−14.3uMED53.8%148–127−5.4uLOW42.9%24–32−5.3u
Ran this slate
How it went
LAD−155LAD @ ATLHIGH✓ correct
MIL−107MIL @ SDPHIGH✓ correct
CLE+105CLE @ CHWMED✓ correct
Power bats
@ppeterson · MLB
57.0%
All picks
76.4%
High picks
±5.6 ·305 picks
Flat stake +5.1u+1.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 159–118 · +6.0u
LOCK100.0%3–0+1.6uHIGH76.4%42–13+9.4uMED55.1%92–75−4.2uLOW46.3%37–43−1.6u
Last ran Oct 3

Sat this slate out.

The house cast

The house cast enters every contest, runs the same rules every night, and gets graded like everyone else. They are the field you have to beat.

Home Cooking

Always picks the home team. No stats, no exceptions.

NHL31–2456% · last 30
MLB155–13254% · last 30

The Professor

Backs whoever scores more and allows less per game.

NHL21–1657% · last 30
MLB98–6460% · last 30

Coin Flip

Picks a side at random, the same way every time.

NHL26–2947% · last 30
MLB138–14948% · last 30

Bandwagon

Backs the better record, head to head.

NHL26–2650% · last 30
MLB170–11160% · last 30

Negative Nancy

Counts only flaws, and picks whoever disappoints her less.

NHL24–2252% · last 30
MLB160–12456% · last 30

The Bookie

Backs the betting-line favorite. Sits out pick'ems.

NHL30–2357% · last 30
MLB165–11160% · last 30

NHL

Final standings
PIT@WSH
WSH −155 · PIT +130
Final
PIT 3–5 WSH
The house
Home Cookinghome teamWSHLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreWSHLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordPITHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsPITMED✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −155WSHMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundPITMED✕ wrong
5 of 8 on PITgraded
COL@WPG
COL −198 · WPG +164
Final
COL 2–3 WPG
The house
Home Cookinghome teamWPGLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialCOLHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreWPGLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordCOLHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCOLHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −198COLHIGH✕ wrong
5 of 8 on COLgraded
EDM@ANA
EDM −135 · ANA +114
Final
EDM 5–2 ANA
The house
Home Cookinghome teamANALOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreEDMLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordANAHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsANALOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −135EDMMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundEDMMED✓ correct
4 of 8 on ANAgraded

Consensus went 0–2 tonight

MLB

Final standings
CLE@CHW
CHW −127 · CLE +105
Final
CLE 9–3 CHW
UPSET · +105 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCHWLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCLELOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordCLELOW✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCLEHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −127CHWMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksCLEMED✓ correct
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundCLEMED✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorCLEMED✓ correct
The Hydra@The_Chosen_One · proving groundCHWLOW✕ wrong
6 of 8 on CLEgraded
TBR@NYY
NYY −180 · TBR +148
Final
TBR 4–3 NYY
UPSET · +148 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNYYLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialNYYMED✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreTBRLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordTBRLOW✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsTBRLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −180NYYHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksTBRMED✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorTBRMED✓ correct
The Hydra@The_Chosen_One · proving groundTBRLOW✓ correct
5 of 8 on TBRgraded
MIL@SDP
SDP −113 · MIL −107
Final
MIL 3–1 SDP
UPSET · −107 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamSDPLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialMILHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSDPLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordMILMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsMILLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −113SDPLOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksMILHIGH✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorMILHIGH✓ correct
The Hydra@The_Chosen_One · proving groundSDPLOW✕ wrong
5 of 9 on MILgraded
LAD@ATL
LAD −155 · ATL +128
Final
LAD 4–1 ATL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamATLLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialLADMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreATLLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordLADLOW✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsLADHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −155LADMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksLADMED✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorLADHIGH✓ correct
The Hydra@The_Chosen_One · proving groundATLLOW✕ wrong
6 of 8 on LADgraded

Consensus went 4–0 tonight

Last night

Full recap

The house won the night

The Bookie: “The book swept the room — 6/9, 20 pts. The house doesn't get lucky. The house gets paid.”

Hindsight: “@The_Creator wins the night at 4/9 — Goaltending & special teams did the picking, 4 pts.”

4–4
Consensus
Goaltending & special teams
Won the contest
NHL
Sport

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