Hindsight

Saturday, October 3

Tonight at Hindsight

How last night's calls actually went.

NHL · 13 gamesMLB · 3 games

Tonight's slate · Previous day

The Bookie likes Buffalo Sabres at −230.

On the record tonight

Leaderboard

Ranked by lifetime record, adjusted for sample size. Min. 8 decided picks, user algorithms ahead of the house, running within a week of that date. Algorithms with public rules show what they like tonight.

Super Max Whale
@TopShelfPicks · MLB
58.1%
All picks
76.1%
Lock picks
±4.2 ·539 picks
Flat stake +6.3u+1.2% ROI
Last 30 days · 202–136 · +10.3u
LOCK76.1%54–17+9.4uHIGH58.1%119–86−3.5uMED53.0%124–110−3.2uLOW55.2%16–13+3.7u
Ran this slate
How it went
MIL−209SDP @ MILHIGH✓ correct
CLE−149CHW @ CLEMED✕ wrong
NYY+119NYY @ TBRLOW✕ wrong
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)
@The_Chosen_One · NHL
71.0%
All picks
71.0%
Last 30 days
±17.6 ·31 picks
Flat stake +6.0u+20.9% ROI
LOCK60.0%6–4−1.0uHIGH75.0%6–2+1.2uMED57.1%4–3+0.8uLOW100.0%6–0+5.1u
Ran this slate
How it went
BUF−230CHI @ BUFLOCK✓ correct
OTT−105OTT @ TOREdgeLOCK✓ correct
COL−298STL @ COLLOCK✓ correct
Top Gun Maverick
@The_Chosen_One · MLB
58.6%
All picks
67.9%
Lock picks
±5.2 ·355 picks
Flat stake +0.3u+0.1% ROI
Last 30 days · 140–86 · +11.2u
LOCK67.9%19–9+0.7uHIGH61.4%94–59+0.8uMED55.8%86–68−1.3uLOW45.0%9–11+0.1u
Ran this slate
How it went
TBR−143NYY @ TBRMED✓ correct
Pitching first
@ppeterson · MLB
57.9%
All picks
73.4%
Lock picks
±4.8 ·411 picks
Flat stake +2.7u+0.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 191–134 · +5.3u
LOCK73.4%58–21+8.3uHIGH54.3%63–53−8.5uMED56.1%78–61+2.1uLOW50.6%39–38+0.8u
Ran this slate
How it went
MIL−209SDP @ MILHIGH✓ correct
CLE−149CHW @ CLEMED✕ wrong
NYY+119NYY @ TBRMED✕ wrong
Power bats
@ppeterson · MLB
57.0%
All picks
76.4%
High picks
±5.6 ·305 picks
Flat stake +5.1u+1.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 174–131 · +5.1u
LOCK100.0%3–0+1.6uHIGH76.4%42–13+9.4uMED55.1%92–75−4.2uLOW46.3%37–43−1.6u
Ran this slate
How it went
TBR−143NYY @ TBRMED✓ correct
MIL−209SDP @ MILMED✓ correct
CHW+124CHW @ CLELOW✓ correct
Curve Fitter
@The_Chosen_One · MLB
55.9%
All picks
78.0%
Lock picks
±4.5 ·469 picks
Flat stake +1.2u+0.3% ROI
Last 30 days · 175–121 · +10.9u
LOCK78.0%39–11+8.5uHIGH63.7%72–41+4.8uMED49.3%67–69−13.9uLOW49.4%84–86+1.8u
Ran this slate
How it went
MIL−209SDP @ MILLOCK✓ correct
CLE−149CHW @ CLEMED✕ wrong
NYY+119NYY @ TBRMED✕ wrong

The house cast

The house cast enters every contest, runs the same rules every night, and gets graded like everyone else. They are the field you have to beat.

Home Cooking

Always picks the home team. No stats, no exceptions.

NHL19–1556% · last 30
MLB184–15454% · last 30

The Professor

Backs whoever scores more and allows less per game.

NHL16–867% · last 30
MLB108–7858% · last 30

Coin Flip

Picks a side at random, the same way every time.

NHL14–2041% · last 30
MLB165–17349% · last 30

Bandwagon

Backs the better record, head to head.

NHL18–1456% · last 30
MLB199–13360% · last 30

Negative Nancy

Counts only flaws, and picks whoever disappoints her less.

NHL18–1456% · last 30
MLB185–15055% · last 30

The Bookie

Backs the betting-line favorite. Sits out pick'ems.

NHL15–1747% · last 30
MLB194–13160% · last 30

NHL

Final standings
CHI@BUF
BUF −230 · CHI +190
Final
CHI 3–4 BUF
The house
Home Cookinghome teamBUFLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialBUFHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreBUFLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordBUFHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsBUFLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −230BUFHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundBUFLOCK✓ correct
9 of 9 on BUFgraded
OTT@TOR
TOR −115 · OTT −105
Final
OTT 3–2 TOR
UPSET · −105 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTORLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialOTTMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreTORLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordOTTHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsOTTLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −115TORLOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundOTTLOCK✓ correct
5 of 9 on OTTgraded
WSH@TBL
TBL −205 · WSH +170
Final
WSH 1–3 TBL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTBLLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialTBLLOW✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreWSHLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordTBLMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsTBLLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −205TBLHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundTBLHIGH✓ correct
7 of 8 on TBLgraded
CAR@PHI
CAR −135 · PHI +114
Final
CAR 3–2 PHI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamPHILOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialCARMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCARLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordCARMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCARHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −135CARMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundCARHIGH✓ correct
8 of 9 on CARgraded
MTL@PIT
MTL −115 · PIT −105
Final
MTL 5–6 PIT
UPSET · −105 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamPITLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreMTLLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordMTLMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsPITLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −115MTLLOW✕ wrong
5 of 8 on PITgraded
UTA@CBJ
UTA −118 · CBJ −102
Final
UTA 4–1 CBJ
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCBJLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter goal differentialUTALOW✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCBJLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonno pick
Negative Nancyfewer flawsUTALOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −118UTALOW✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundUTAMED✓ correct
6 of 8 on UTAgraded
SEA@EDM
EDM −205 · SEA +170
Final
SEA 1–3 EDM
The house
Home Cookinghome teamEDMLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSEALOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordEDMMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyno pick
The Bookiemarket favorite −205EDMHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundEDMHIGH✓ correct
6 of 7 on EDMgraded
NJD@NYI
NJD −135 · NYI +114
Final
NJD 0–6 NYI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNYILOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialNYILOW✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNJDLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordNYILOW✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsNJDHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −135NJDMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundNJDMED✕ wrong
4 of 8 on NYIgraded
DAL@NSH
DAL −142 · NSH +120
Final
DAL 1–2 NSH
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNSHLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialDALMED✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreDALLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordDALHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsDALLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −142DALMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundDALHIGH✕ wrong
7 of 9 on DALgraded
BOS@MIN
MIN −218 · BOS +180
Final
BOS 1–4 MIN
The house
Home Cookinghome teamMINLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialMINLOW✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreMINLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordMINLOW✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsMINLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −218MINHIGH✓ correct
9 of 9 on MINgraded
STL@COL
COL −298 · STL +240
Final
STL 1–6 COL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCOLLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter goal differentialCOLHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSTLLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCOLHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCOLHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −298COLHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundCOLLOCK✓ correct
8 of 9 on COLgraded
CGY@VAN
VAN −110 · CGY −110
Final
CGY 1–4 VAN
The house
Home Cookinghome teamVANLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCGYLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCGYMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsVANHIGH✓ correct
The Bookieno pick
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundVANLOW✓ correct
4 of 7 on CGYgraded
LAK@SJS
SJS −115 · LAK −105
Final
LAK 4–5 SJS
The house
Home Cookinghome teamSJSLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreLAKLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordLAKLOW✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsLAKLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −115SJSLOW✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
The Curve Fit (NHL 2025-26)@The_Chosen_One · proving groundSJSLOW✓ correct
5 of 8 on LAKgraded

Consensus went 9–3 tonight

MLB

Final standings
CHW@CLE
CLE −149 · CHW +124
Final
CHW 3–0 CLE
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCLELOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCLELOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCLELOW✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCLEHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −149CLEMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksCLEMED✕ wrong
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundCLEMED✕ wrong
Power bats@ppeterson · proving groundCHWLOW✓ correct
Curve Fitter@The_Chosen_One · proving groundCLEMED✕ wrong
8 of 9 on CLEgraded
SDP@MIL
MIL −209 · SDP +171
Final
SDP 2–3 MIL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamMILLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter run differentialMILHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSDPLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordMILMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsMILLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −209MILHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksMILHIGH✓ correct
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundMILHIGH✓ correct
Power bats@ppeterson · proving groundMILMED✓ correct
Curve Fitter@The_Chosen_One · proving groundMILLOCK✓ correct
9 of 10 on MILgraded
NYY@TBR
TBR −143 · NYY +119
Final
NYY 0–1 TBR
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTBRLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter run differentialNYYMED✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNYYLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordTBRLOW✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsTBRLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −143TBRMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksNYYLOW✕ wrong
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundTBRMED✓ correct
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundNYYMED✕ wrong
Power bats@ppeterson · proving groundTBRMED✓ correct
6 of 11 on TBRgraded

Consensus went 2–1 tonight

Last night

Full recap

An underdog paid out tonight

Bandwagon: “@TopShelfPicks took STL at +154?? Against the favorite? I don't understand brave people.”

Hindsight: “@TopShelfPicks takes it — 2/5 with Quinn Hughes to NJ, 4 pts.”

1–4
Consensus
Quinn Hughes to NJ
Won the contest
NHL
Sport

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