Saturday, September 19

Tonight at Hindsight

How last night's calls actually went.

MLB · 15 gamesWNBA · 3 games

Tonight's slate · Previous day

The Bookie likes New York Yankees at −138. Negative Nancy, naturally, is on Arizona Diamondbacks.

On the record tonight

Leaderboard

Ranked by lifetime record, adjusted for sample size. Min. 8 decided picks, user algorithms ahead of the house, running within a week of that date. Algorithms with public rules show what they like tonight.

@The_Chosen_One · WNBA
75.0%
All picks
76.6%
Low picks
±13.6 ·52 picks
Flat stake +2.6u+5.0% ROI
Last 30 days · 33–10 · +1.6u
LOCK—0–0—HIGH60.0%3–2−0.2uMED—0–0—LOW76.6%36–11+2.8u
Ran this slate
How it went
DAL−485PHO @ DALLOW✓ correct
ATL−1200CHI @ ATLLOW✓ correct
GSV−700SEA @ GSVLOW✓ correct
@ppeterson · WNBA
82.3%
All picks
82.3%
Last 30 days
±23.8 ·17 picks
Flat stake +0.9u+5.2% ROI
LOCK100.0%11–0+2.5uHIGH100.0%1–0+0.3uMED33.3%1–2−1.7uLOW50.0%1–1−0.2u
Ran this slate
How it went
DAL−485PHO @ DALLOCK✓ correct
ATL−1200CHI @ ATLLOCK✓ correct
GSV−700SEA @ GSVLOCK✓ correct
@kizzle · WNBA
71.2%
All picks
73.3%
Low picks
±13.6 ·52 picks
Flat stake −0.3u−0.5% ROI
Last 30 days · 31–12 · −1.5u
LOCK—0–0—HIGH50.0%1–1−0.8uMED60.0%3–2+1.2uLOW73.3%33–12−0.7u
Ran this slate
How it went
DAL−485PHO @ DALLOW✓ correct
ATL−1200CHI @ ATLLOW✓ correct
GSV−700SEA @ GSVLOW✓ correct
@TopShelfPicks · MLB
57.0%
All picks
71.4%
Lock picks
±4.7 ·426 picks
Flat stake −2.8u−0.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 205–155 · −3.6u
LOCK71.4%35–14+3.6uHIGH58.5%107–76−2.7uMED51.7%92–86−6.7uLOW56.3%9–7+3.0u
Ran this slate
How it went
MIL−132MIL @ BALLOCK✓ correct
SEA−161SEA @ COLLOCK✕ wrong
LAD−350SFG @ LADLOCK✓ correct
@ppeterson · MLB
57.6%
All picks
70.9%
Lock picks
±5.6 ·302 picks
Flat stake +0.9u+0.3% ROI
Last 30 days · 174–128 · +0.9u
LOCK70.9%39–16+3.9uHIGH53.3%49–43−9.1uMED57.4%58–43+3.6uLOW51.8%28–26+2.4u
Ran this slate
How it went
CLE−178ATH @ CLELOCK✓ correct
SEA−161SEA @ COLLOCK✕ wrong
LAD−350SFG @ LADLOCK✓ correct
@The_Chosen_One · MLB
56.7%
All picks
61.2%
High picks
±5.8 ·284 picks
Flat stake −10.5u−3.8% ROI
Last 30 days · 156–118 · −9.2u
LOCK57.9%11–8−2.3uHIGH61.2%74–47−0.9uMED54.6%71–59−4.8uLOW35.7%5–9−2.5u
Ran this slate
How it went
CHC−134CHC @ CINLOCK✓ correct
MIL−132MIL @ BALHIGH✓ correct
CLE−178ATH @ CLEHIGH✓ correct

The house cast

The house cast enters every contest, runs the same rules every night, and gets graded like everyone else. They are the field you have to beat.

Home Cooking

Always picks the home team. No stats, no exceptions.

MLB229–18555% · last 30
WNBA23–2053% · last 30

The Professor

Backs whoever scores more and allows less per game.

MLB127–10455% · last 30
WNBA16–384% · last 30

Coin Flip

Picks a side at random, the same way every time.

MLB201–21349% · last 30
WNBA24–1956% · last 30

Bandwagon

Backs the better record, head to head.

MLB240–17158% · last 30
WNBA31–1272% · last 30

Negative Nancy

Counts only flaws, and picks whoever disappoints her less.

MLB223–18455% · last 30
WNBA29–1467% · last 30

The Bookie

Backs the betting-line favorite. Sits out pick'ems.

MLB243–16160% · last 30
WNBA32–1174% · last 30
NYY@ARI
NYY −138 · ARI +125
Final
NYY 3–5 ARI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamARILOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter run differentialNYYHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreARILOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordNYYMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsARILOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −138NYYMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksNYYHIGH✕ wrong
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundNYYHIGH✕ wrong
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundARILOW✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorNYYHIGH✕ wrong
8 of 11 on NYYgraded
MIL@BAL
MIL −132 · BAL +112
Final
MIL 1–0 BAL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamBALLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialMILHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreMILLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordMILHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsMILHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −132MILMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksMILLOCK✓ correct
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundMILHIGH✓ correct
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundMILHIGH✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorMILHIGH✓ correct
9 of 11 on MILgraded
DET@CHW
CHW −134 · DET +118
Final
DET 1–3 CHW
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCHWLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCHWLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordCHWMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsDETHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −134CHWMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksCHWMED✓ correct
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundCHWLOW✓ correct
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundDETMED✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorDETMED✕ wrong
7 of 10 on CHWgraded
CHC@CIN
CHC −134 · CIN +115
Final
CHC 5–2 CIN
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCINLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialCHCHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCINLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCHCHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCHCLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −134CHCMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksCHCHIGH✓ correct
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundCHCHIGH✓ correct
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundCHCLOCK✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorCHCHIGH✓ correct
9 of 11 on CHCgraded
ATH@CLE
CLE −178 · ATH +153
Final
ATH 6–12 CLE
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCLELOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreATHLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCLEHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCLEHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −178CLEHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksCLEHIGH✓ correct
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundCLELOCK✓ correct
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundCLEHIGH✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorCLELOCK✓ correct
7 of 10 on CLEgraded
SEA@COL
SEA −161 · COL +136
Final
SEA 3–5 COL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCOLLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSEALOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordSEAHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSEAHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −161SEAHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksSEALOCK✕ wrong
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundSEALOCK✕ wrong
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundSEAHIGH✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorSEAHIGH✕ wrong
7 of 10 on SEAgraded
ATL@HOU
HOU −118 · ATL +100
Final
ATL 6–3 HOU
UPSET · +100 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamHOULOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialATLHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreATLLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordATLHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsATLHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −118HOULOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksATLHIGH✓ correct
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundATLHIGH✓ correct
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundATLMED✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorATLHIGH✓ correct
8 of 11 on ATLgraded
MIN@LAA
LAA −108 · MIN −108
Final
MIN 5–6 LAA
The house
Home Cookinghome teamLAALOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreLAALOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordMINHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsMINLOW✕ wrong
The Bookieno pick
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksMINMED✕ wrong
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundMINLOW✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorMINLOW✕ wrong
5 of 9 on MINgraded
SFG@LAD
LAD −350 · SFG +280
Final
SFG 4–10 LAD
The house
Home Cookinghome teamLADLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter run differentialLADHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSFGLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordLADHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsLADLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −350LADHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksLADLOCK✓ correct
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundLADLOCK✓ correct
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundLADHIGH✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorLADLOCK✓ correct
10 of 11 on LADgraded
PHI@NYM
NYM −120 · PHI +105
Final
PHI 3–10 NYM
The house
Home Cookinghome teamNYMLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter run differentialPHIMED✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNYMLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordPHIHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsPHILOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −120NYMLOW✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksPHIHIGH✕ wrong
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundPHIMED✕ wrong
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundPHIMED✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorPHIMED✕ wrong
7 of 11 on PHIgraded
KCR@PIT
PIT −112 · KCR −101
Final
KCR 5–6 PIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamPITLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter run differentialPITHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreKCRLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordPITMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsKCRLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −112PITLOW✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksPITMED✓ correct
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundPITMED✓ correct
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundPITMED✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorPITHIGH✓ correct
8 of 11 on PITgraded
MIA@SDP
SDP −154 · MIA +132
Final
MIA 6–7 SDP
The house
Home Cookinghome teamSDPLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSDPLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordSDPMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSDPLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −154SDPMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksSDPMED✓ correct
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundSDPMED✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorSDPMED✓ correct
9 of 9 on SDPgraded
WSN@STL
STL −130 · WSN +110
Final
WSN 8–5 STL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamSTLLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreWSNLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordSTLLOW✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSTLHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −130STLMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksSTLMED✕ wrong
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundSTLMED✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorSTLMED✕ wrong
6 of 10 on STLgraded
BOS@TBR
TBR −134 · BOS +115
Final
BOS 1–2 TBR
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTBRLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreBOSLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordTBRMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsTBRLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −134TBRMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksTBRMED✓ correct
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundTBRMED✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorTBRMED✓ correct
6 of 10 on TBRgraded
TOR@TEX
TOR −120 · TEX +105
Final
TOR 2–6 TEX
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTEXLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreTORLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordTORLOW✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsTORLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −120TORLOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksTORMED✕ wrong
Pitching first@ppeterson · proving groundTORMED✕ wrong
Top Gun Maverick@The_Chosen_One · proving groundTORMED✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorTORMED✕ wrong
8 of 10 on TORgraded

Consensus went 9–6 tonight

PHO@DAL
DAL −485 · PHO +370
Final
PHO 82–87 DAL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamDALLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter point differentialDALMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing morePHOLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordDALHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsDALHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −485DALHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Wheels Up@The_Chosen_OneDALLOW✓ correct
Balanced club@ppetersonDALLOCK✓ correct
Balanced club@kizzleDALLOW✓ correct
10 of 11 on DALgraded
CHI@ATL
ATL −1200 · CHI +750
Final
CHI 81–106 ATL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamATLLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter point differentialATLHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreATLLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordATLHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCHILOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −1200ATLHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Wheels Up@The_Chosen_OneATLLOW✓ correct
Balanced club@ppetersonATLLOCK✓ correct
Balanced club@kizzleATLLOW✓ correct
10 of 11 on ATLgraded
SEA@GSV
GSV −700 · SEA +500
Final
SEA 57–70 GSV
The house
Home Cookinghome teamGSVLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreGSVLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordGSVHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsGSVHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −700GSVHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Wheels Up@The_Chosen_OneGSVLOW✓ correct
Balanced club@ppetersonGSVLOCK✓ correct
Balanced club@kizzleGSVLOW✓ correct
10 of 10 on GSVgraded

Consensus went 3–0 tonight

Last night

Full recap

The Bookie won games and lost the night

The Bookie: “I hit 2/3 and got out-pointed anyway. Accuracy is cheap. Conviction is expensive.”

Hindsight: “Top of the board: @ppeterson, 2/3 for 19 pts with Balanced club.”

2–1
Consensus
Balanced club
Won the contest
WNBA
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