Hindsight

Wednesday, September 2

Tonight at Hindsight

How last night's calls actually went.

MLB · 15 games

Tonight's slate · Previous day

The Bookie likes Philadelphia Phillies at −105. Negative Nancy, naturally, is on Arizona Diamondbacks.

On the record tonight

Leaderboard

Ranked by lifetime record, adjusted for sample size. Min. 8 decided picks, user algorithms ahead of the house, running within a week of that date. Algorithms with public rules show what they like tonight.

Wheels Up
@The_Chosen_One · WNBA
70.7%
All picks
72.2%
Low picks
±15.3 ·41 picks
Flat stake +0.9u+2.1% ROI
Last 30 days · 29–12 · +0.9u
LOCK—0–0—HIGH60.0%3–2−0.2uMED—0–0—LOW72.2%26–10+1.1u
Last ran Aug 30

Sat this slate out.

Balanced club
@kizzle · WNBA
68.3%
All picks
70.6%
Low picks
±15.3 ·41 picks
Flat stake −0.3u−0.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 28–13 · −0.3u
LOCK—0–0—HIGH50.0%1–1−0.8uMED60.0%3–2+1.2uLOW70.6%24–10−0.7u
Last ran Aug 30

Sat this slate out.

Super Max Whale
@TopShelfPicks · MLB
55.2%
All picks
54.5%
High picks
±6.9 ·201 picks
Flat stake −4.0u−2.0% ROI
Last 30 days · 111–90 · −4.0u
LOCK61.5%8–5−0.6uHIGH54.5%61–51−8.9uMED54.9%39–32+5.0uLOW60.0%3–2+0.5u
Ran this slate
How it went
ATL−150ATL @ WSNLOCK✓ correct
BAL−153BAL @ COLLOCK✕ wrong
NYY−157NYY @ LAALOCK✓ correct
The Mathematician
@The_Creator · MLB
53.0%
All picks
52.0%
High picks
±5.5 ·313 picks
Flat stake −14.7u−4.8% ROI
Last 30 days · 166–147 · −14.7u
LOCK50.0%3–3−1.0uHIGH52.0%77–71−17.7uMED57.8%74–54+8.8uLOW38.7%12–19−4.8u
Ran this slate
How it went
NYY−157NYY @ LAALOCK✓ correct
SDP−145SDP @ CINHIGH✕ wrong
ATL−150ATL @ WSNHIGH✓ correct
Pitching Szn
@kizzle · MLB
55.7%
All picks
57.9%
Med picks
±8.6 ·131 picks
Flat stake +0.9u+0.7% ROI
Last 30 days · 73–58 · +0.9u
LOCK—0–0—HIGH—0–0—MED57.9%55–40+2.7uLOW50.0%18–18−1.8u
Ran this slate
How it went
ATH+147ATH @ TEXEdgeMED✓ correct
BAL−153BAL @ COLMED✕ wrong
TOR−125TOR @ CLEMED✓ correct
Pitching first
@baseballman · MLB
53.4%
All picks
52.9%
High picks
±7.1 ·191 picks
Flat stake −13.5u−7.3% ROI
Last 30 days · 102–89 · −13.5u
LOCK54.5%6–5−1.2uHIGH52.9%27–24−5.9uMED55.7%54–43−2.8uLOW46.9%15–17−3.7u
Last ran Sep 1

Sat this slate out.

The house cast

The house cast enters every contest, runs the same rules every night, and gets graded like everyone else. They are the field you have to beat.

Home Cooking

Always picks the home team. No stats, no exceptions.

MLB228–19454% · last 30

The Professor

Backs whoever scores more and allows less per game.

MLB112–10053% · last 30

Coin Flip

Picks a side at random, the same way every time.

MLB204–21848% · last 30

Bandwagon

Backs the better record, head to head.

MLB237–18257% · last 30

Negative Nancy

Counts only flaws, and picks whoever disappoints her less.

MLB212–20351% · last 30

The Bookie

Backs the betting-line favorite. Sits out pick'ems.

MLB234–17557% · last 30

MLB

Final standings
PHI@ARI
PHI −105 · ARI −104
Final
PHI 0–1 ARI
The house
Home Cookinghome teamARILOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter run differentialPHILOW✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing morePHILOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordPHILOW✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsARIHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −105PHILOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksPHIMED✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorPHIMED✕ wrong
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundPHILOW✕ wrong
10 of 12 on PHIgraded
SEA@BOS
BOS −130 · SEA +120
Final
SEA 8–3 BOS
The house
Home Cookinghome teamBOSLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialBOSHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreBOSLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordBOSMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsBOSLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −130BOSMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksBOSHIGH✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorSEALOW✓ correct
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundBOSLOW✕ wrong
10 of 11 on BOSgraded
MIL@CHC
MIL −153 · CHC +143
Final
MIL 9–5 CHC
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCHCLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreMILLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordMILMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsMILLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −153MILMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksMILHIGH✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorMILHIGH✓ correct
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundMILMED✓ correct
8 of 10 on MILgraded
SDP@CIN
SDP −145 · CIN +135
Final
SDP 3–7 CIN
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCINLOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter run differentialSDPHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCINLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordSDPMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSDPHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −145SDPMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksSDPHIGH✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorSDPHIGH✕ wrong
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundSDPLOW✕ wrong
10 of 12 on SDPgraded
TOR@CLE
TOR −125 · CLE +115
Final
TOR 11–0 CLE
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCLELOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialCLEMED✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCLELOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordCLELOW✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsTORLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −125TORMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksCLEMED✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorCLEMED✕ wrong
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundTORMED✓ correct
10 of 12 on CLEgraded
BAL@COL
BAL −153 · COL +143
Final
BAL 5–6 COL
The house
Home Cookinghome teamCOLLOW✓ correct
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreCOLLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordBALHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCOLLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −153BALMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksBALLOCK✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorBALHIGH✕ wrong
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundBALMED✕ wrong
7 of 10 on BALgraded
CHW@HOU
HOU −135 · CHW +125
Final
CHW 0–2 HOU
The house
Home Cookinghome teamHOULOW✓ correct
The Professorbetter run differentialCHWMED✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreHOULOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordCHWLOW✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsCHWLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −135HOUMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksCHWMED✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorCHWMED✕ wrong
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundHOUMED✓ correct
7 of 12 on CHWgraded
MIA@KCR
KCR −105 · MIA −104
Final
MIA 9–6 KCR
UPSET · −104 HIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamKCRLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialMIAMED✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreMIALOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordMIAMED✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsMIALOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −105KCRLOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksMIAHIGH✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorMIAHIGH✓ correct
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundMIALOW✓ correct
10 of 12 on MIAgraded
NYY@LAA
NYY −157 · LAA +147
Final
NYY 6–3 LAA
The house
Home Cookinghome teamLAALOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialNYYHIGH✓ correct
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNYYLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordNYYHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsNYYHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −157NYYHIGH✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksNYYLOCK✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorNYYLOCK✓ correct
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundNYYLOW✓ correct
11 of 12 on NYYgraded
STL@LAD
LAD −240 · STL +210
Final
STL 8–6 LAD
The house
Home Cookinghome teamLADLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialLADHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSTLLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordLADHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsLADLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −240LADHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksLADHIGH✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorLADHIGH✕ wrong
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundLADLOW✕ wrong
11 of 12 on LADgraded
DET@MIN
MIN −112 · DET +105
Final
DET 11–6 MIN
The house
Home Cookinghome teamMINLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreMINLOW✕ wrong
Bandwagonbetter recordMINLOW✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsDETLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −112MINLOW✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksMINLOW✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorDETHIGH✓ correct
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundDETMED✓ correct
7 of 11 on MINgraded
SFG@PIT
PIT −145 · SFG +135
Final
SFG 5–4 PIT
The house
Home Cookinghome teamPITLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreSFGLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordPITMED✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsSFGLOW✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −145PITMED✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksPITMED✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorPITMED✕ wrong
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundPITMED✕ wrong
9 of 11 on PITgraded
NYM@TBR
TBR −157 · NYM +147
Final
NYM 10–4 TBR
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTBRLOW✕ wrong
The Professorbetter run differentialTBRHIGH✕ wrong
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreNYMLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordTBRHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsTBRLOW✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −157TBRHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksTBRHIGH✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorTBRHIGH✕ wrong
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundTBRLOW✕ wrong
11 of 12 on TBRgraded
ATH@TEX
TEX −157 · ATH +147
Final
ATH 9–2 TEX
The house
Home Cookinghome teamTEXLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreATHLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordTEXHIGH✕ wrong
Negative Nancyfewer flawsTEXHIGH✕ wrong
The Bookiemarket favorite −157TEXHIGH✕ wrong
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksTEXHIGH✕ wrong
The Mathematician@The_CreatorTEXHIGH✕ wrong
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundATHMED✓ correct
8 of 10 on TEXgraded
ATL@WSN
ATL −150 · WSN +140
Final
ATL 9–0 WSN
The house
Home Cookinghome teamWSNLOW✕ wrong
The Professorno pick
Coin Flipa coin, nothing moreATLLOW✓ correct
Bandwagonbetter recordATLHIGH✓ correct
Negative Nancyfewer flawsATLHIGH✓ correct
The Bookiemarket favorite −150ATLMED✓ correct
Algorithms with a record
Super Max Whale@TopShelfPicksATLLOCK✓ correct
The Mathematician@The_CreatorATLHIGH✓ correct
Pitching Szn@kizzle · proving groundWSNLOW✕ wrong
9 of 10 on ATLgraded

Consensus went 4–11 tonight

Last night

Full recap

STL +162 cashed

The Bookie: “STL +162 cashed for @TopShelfPicks. Somewhere, an actuary is crying.”

Hindsight: “Top of the board: @kizzle, 10/15 for 18 pts with Full send gut feelers.”

9–6
Consensus
Full send gut feelers
Won the contest
MLB
Sport

Humans 25/45 · Machines 105/195 — humans took the night

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