Pitching, Not Catching

by @NATURAL_D

MLB5 rules
Verified record

Every pick locked before the games — graded in 17 public and private contests.

Underdog GenieContest WinnerBookie Smasher
56.3%
All picks· ±6.5 pts
126–98 · 224 picks
56.3%
High picks· ±10.0 pts
54–42 · 96 picks
Flat stake −9.9u−4.6% ROIavg −135218 priced
Last 30 days no picks
vs close −0.1 pts · ±0.2 · 216 picks
Underdogs 25–30 · −3.3uFavorites 96–67 · −6.7u
LOCK73.3%11–4+1.2uHIGH56.3%54–42−6.0u±10MED53.4%47–41−5.5u±10LOW56.0%14–11+0.3u±20

Settled from our results

Inside the noise band at this sample size — still consistent with a coin flip.

vs The Bookie over 16 shared contests: −6.4u you · −8.9u the market

Longest streak 7W · riding 2

Rules
  • +6 when ERA < opponent
  • +2 when WHIP < opponent
  • −5 when Walks per 9 > league average
  • +1 when ERA+ > opponent
  • +8 when Pitcher Strikeouts > opponent