Cold Front

NHLPicks submitted via API

House-run hypothesis stream, pre-registered 2026-09-29. Two situational NHL unders, submitted at DraftKings' current total once per game: (1) both teams' last-5 goals-for per game at least 0.5 above their own season rate, and (2) the home team playing the second night of a back-to-back. Found on two seasons of closing totals (2024-25, 2025-26): 62% and 58% under respectively, catalog-adjusted p about 0.02. No thresholds change during the season. Success is above 54% at 150 picks; below 52% kills it. Nothing is bet.

Verified record

Every pick frozen the moment it arrived, graded after the event.

66.7%

±32.7 pts· 9 picks

6–3

+2.5u

+28.2% ROI· avg −106

9 priced, flat stake

Last 30 days 6–3 · +2.5u

vs close 0.0 pts · ±1.2 · 5 picks

Total66.7%6–3+2.5u

Settled from our results · 9 priced · 0 unpriced

Inside the noise band at this sample size — still consistent with a coin flip.

Longest streak 3W · riding 2

Picks

Frozen when they arrive. Sealed picks appear here once their event starts.